The ONS reported that UK GDP declined by -0.1% in the three months to October 2025, compared with the three months to July. This follows a growth of +0.1% in the three months to September and +0.2% in the three months to August.
There were falls in two of the three main sectors in the three months to October 2025, with a fall of -0.5% in the production sector. This was largely because of a -17.7% fall in the “manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers & semi-trailers”, which made the largest contribution to the decrease in GDP during this period. Construction output also fell, by -0.3%.
The fall in production during the three months to October 2025 was largely caused by a fall of -0.7% in manufacturing. “Mining & quarrying” also fell in the three months to October 2025, with a fall of -1.9%. Whereas “water supply; sewerage, waste management & remediation activities” grew by +1.2%, “electricity, gas, steam & air conditioning supply” grew by +0.3% in the three months to October 2025.
Services output showed no growth over this period. This continues the recent trend of slowing growth in the service sector since March 2025. There was a fall in output in 7 of the 14 subsectors in the three months to October 2025. The largest negative contributions at the subsector level came from “professional, scientific & technical activities” (-1.6%), “other service activities” (-2.6%), and “information & communication” (-0.4%). The largest positive contributions at the subsector level came from “real estate activities” (+0.4%), “administrative & support service activities” (+0.9%) and “public administration & defence; compulsory social security” (+0.8%).
Construction output is estimated to have decreased by -0.3% in the three months to October 2025, compared with the three months to July 2025. “Repair & maintenance” decreased by -1.0%, while “new work” grew by +0.1% over the period. Within “repair & maintenance”, the largest negative contributor came from “private housing repair & maintenance”, which fell by -2.3%. In “new work”, the largest positive contributor came from “public other new work”, which grew by +5.7%. There are more details in the range of ONS Statistical Bulletins which can be downloaded from their website at https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar (12th December) or on request from MTA.